It’s been almost twenty years since a group of software developers created the Agile Manifesto. Since then, Agile has changed the way we develop software and taken the business world by storm. Terms like “daily stand-ups”, “MVP” (Minimum Viable Product) and “Sprints” have become common language. Offices used to consist of departments working in silos and large cubicle walls. Now they are filled with cross functional teams and open work spaces.
So, what will the future have in store for Agile? Will the Agile movement continue to gain momentum, or will it become another management fad that fades away? Will it continue to expand outside the realms of product development? Will we see new frameworks that replace common practices like Scrum, Kanban and SAFe? What about Agile teams, will they look different?
In this post I will tackle some of these questions and provide predictions of what Agile may look like in 2030. I’ll start with the biggest question.
Is Agile a management fad that will fade away?
The short answer is no. The underlying principles of Agile are sound. The fundamental beliefs of Agile were well known long before the Agile Manifesto was written in 2001. Past management gurus like Edward Deming preached the benefits of iterative methods. For whatever reason, it’s taken the rest of the world a long time to catch on. Not only is Agile not a fad, it is mandatory for survival.
While Agile is here to stay, many of the current frameworks and certifications will fade away. Over time they will join the graveyard of past management ideas like MRP, ERP, TQM and JIT.
Will Agile continue to expand into more departments, functions and industries?
Yes. Today Agile is still thought of a something used for software development. Over the next decade, we will see a big push in Agile adoption for HR, marketing, sales and every other department and function. Don’t be surprised if soon you see your accounting team holding a daily stand-up.
We will also see a much wider spread of Agile adoption across industries. This includes construction, logistics and automotive. The largest industry to go all in on Agile will be financial services. Large financial services companies will have to fend off pressure from non-traditional competitors. Many of the big financial services companies already started Agile transformations, but they are just beginning.
What will Agile teams look like in 2030?
We will still have cross functional, self-organizing teams, but there will be one major difference. Agile teams will have a new team member, and that member won’t be human. Interactive artificial intelligence will be a crucial part of Agile teams. In the future, we will wonder how teams ever operated without it.
I’m not saying we will have a robot walking into our meetings. I am saying teams will use a voice activated AI feature like amazon’s Alexa to provide quick response to questions like “how many large stories are in the backlog?”. But that’s just the easy stuff. It will also perform tasks, help teams make decisions and write code.
Think of the character data from star trek. Data was an invaluable resource to the crew. The same will be true of the AI used by future Agile teams, and it will be super cool. I mean, come on, who doesn’t want a robot on their team?
What will be the training needs be in 2030?
The Agile training needs in the future will be less about frameworks and two-day certifications. They will be more about developing emotional intelligence. Team members and managers alike will need to practice mindfulness to deal with the tidal wave of distractions, pressure and stress the next decade will bring. Self-awareness and empathy already are crucial components to work in an Agile environment but in the future, the need for these skills will be multiplied.
In 2030, we will see some big differences in Agile. Agile is not a fad. It will not fade away, but a lot of today’s popular certifications and frameworks will. Agile will continue to expand across industries, departments and functions. The financial services industries could be the largest industry completely changed by Agile. AI will become an invaluable component of future Agile teams. Emotional intelligence will be the critical skill set. Training will be more focused on EQ to improve collaboration, and less on frameworks.
These are my predictions for Agile changes to come in the future. What are yours?
About the Author: Mike MacIsaac is the owner and principal consultant for MacIsaac Consulting. MacIsaac Consulting provides Agile Consulting, Agile Coaching and Agile Training. Follow Mike on Twitter@MikeMacIsaac or visit Mike’s blog.